ADMINISTRATIVE REPORT Date: May 28,1997 TO: Vancouver City Council FROM: Director of Civic Theatres SUBJECT: Theatre Rental Rates - September 1, 1997 to August 31, 1998 RECOMMENDATION THAT Council approve the Schedule of Rental Rates for Civic Theatres, detailed in Appendix A, effective September 1, 1997. CITY MANAGER'S COMMENTS The City Manager RECOMMENDS approval of the foregoing. COUNCIL POLICY Council annually approves the Schedule of Rental Rates for the Queen Elizabeth Theatre, Vancouver Playhouse and Orpheum. PURPOSE This report seeks approval to extend the theatre rental rates established for 1996-1997 to apply to the period September 1, 1997 to August 31, 1998, unchanged. BACKGROUND Rental rates are reviewed during preparation of the annual operating budget and any adjustments are made effective September 1 of each year in alignment with the traditional performing arts season. The rental rates are periodically reviewed in relation to those of comparable facilities in other cities to ensure that Vancouver s rates are correctly placed in relation to the local, national and international markets. In 1995, rental rates were increased by 4.6% and in 1996 the increase was 3%. Event and Audience Statistics; 1990-1996 These are for all three theatres combined. The QET seats 2,930, the Playhouse 668 and the Orpheum, 2,780. It is also important to remember that the Playhouse, in any year, has 60 to 80 more performances than the QET or Orpheum. Year Events Audience Average 1990 700 952,936 1361 1991 752 1,113,996* 1481 1992 657 833,462 1269 1993 698 1,008,367* 1445 1994 674 861,115 1278 1995 622 768,464 1235 1996 616 787,487 1278 1997 est. 630 * Long summer runs of The Phantom of the Opera and Joseph and the Technicolour Dreamcoat at the QET. Of the total events in 1996, approximately 40% were by the resident performing arts presenters who receive grants equal to rent for uses of the civic theatres. Their programming volume from year to year is relatively stable thanks to the grant program, although the grant program does not cover all of their activities. The major variables are in for-profit and community programming. These presenters are most vulnerable to market forces. For example: Music Events Only at QET & Orpheum; 1994 - 1996 1994 195 375,000 1923 1995 145 264,000 1820 1996 141 254,000 1801 Accepting that the VSO is relatively stable from year to year with around 80 events, there was a huge drop from 1994 to 1995 which continued into 1996. This was not a local phenomenon. The popular music industry reported exactly the same drop for all of North America in 1995, for venues of less than 10,000 seats. The industry is predicting a modest upswing in 1997 and this appears to be true for activity at civic theatres so far. Operating Costs Seventy percent of Civic Theatres operating costs are in salaries and wages with half of that in casual wages only incurred when there is a show. Settlements of collective agreements have been running at 0% to 1.5%. General inflation seems to be holding at about 1.5%. DISCUSSION Comparisons With Other Venues In reviewing our rental rates in terms of other venues, we have usually compared with Portland, Seattle and Toronto, all of whom can be significantly higher because they charge a base fixed rent plus a percentage of the box office plus expenses plus equipment use charges. We have kept our rental rates (and terms of rental) competitive with these venues. We have not tried to match our rates to the Canadian theatres between here and Toronto because their rates are all much lower as a result of government mandated discounting for local presenters and high levels of government subsidies, provincial in most cases. These same theatres are under pressure from their governing bodies to reduce their dependance on those subsidies and we expect to see their rental rates and structures change in future. Nevertheless, these lower rates to the east continue to influence our rates. The Live Entertainment Market The market has changed rather suddenly, and for the worse, during the past year. There has been a general decline in audiences across the spectrum of live entertainment events, although once again the non-profit performing arts companies are relatively more stable, likely as a result of loyal subscription audiences. Again, the decline is not localized but seems, in varying degrees, to be continental in nature, at least for traditional events such as Broadway musicals. In the same way that there was a recent seminar in Vancouver on the topic of "Where is the Audience?", Broadway producers recently met to discuss the same question with respect to Broadway and the North American touring market. The growth represented by "CATS", "Les Miserables" and "The Phantom of the Opera" has not been sustained by the shows that followed. As expected there has been considerable speculation on the causes ranging from effects of the aging baby boomers, to lack of job security to inconsistent quality of the product leading to distrust by the audience to a lack of good new shows and the high fees being charged by the artists (in pop/rock the band typically takes 90% of the box office, leaving the local presenter with 10% for expenses and profit). There is no visible concurrence on the question, except that it is once again a good year to be very conservative. Action To summarize, there are several factors which motivate maintaining the rental rates at the 1996-1997 level. * The rate of inflation is very low; increases in costs of operation are in the minimal to negligible range. * The volume of bookings is relatively low. * Audiences have been unpredictable, even in previously stable or growing sectors, creating a higher risk environment for presenters of all kinds. * In the past few years, our rent has increased at a rate higher than inflation. Accordingly, Civic Theatres proposes no increase in rental rates for the 1997-1998 season. FINANCIAL IMPACTS The 1997 operating budget was prepared on the assumption of no rental rate increases in 1997 and projects a year-end surplus of $48,000. A rental rate increase would actually only impact the last four months of 1997. If a 1% increase were added, the net result for 1997 would be approximately $9,000, of which approximately 50% would be from the grants equal to rent budget. There is a risk that this proposal may make it difficult to balance the 1998 operating budget since these rates will apply to nine months of next year. If the same 1% were applied, the net result would be approximately $16,000 of which approximately 30% would be from the grants budget. It remains to be seen whether there will be any changes in the costs of operation, booking volume and attendance levels that will cause positive or negative financial impacts in 1998. CONCLUSION For a variety of reasons to do with low inflation, small or no increases in labour costs and market instability, Civic Theatres recommends that the theatres' rental rates continue unchanged for the coming year. * * * * *