SUPPORTS ITEM NO. 4(a)
                                            P&E COMMITTEE AGENDA
                                            OCTOBER 10, 1996      

                             ADMINISTRATIVE REPORT

                                            Date: October 1, 1996

    TO:       Standing Committee on Planning & Environment

    FROM:     General Manager of Engineering Services

    SUBJECT:  BC Transit Five Year Plan and Funding Strategy


    RECOMMENDATION

         A.   THAT Council receive the TransAction 2002 Service Plan and
              Funding Strategy for Information.

         B.   THAT Council recommend to the Vancouver Regional Transit
              Commission, the BC Transit Board and the Province that they
              provide sufficient resources and funding to meet Transit's
              obligation to Transport 2021, the Regional Transportation
              Plan.

         C.   THAT Council recommend to the Vancouver Regional Transit
              Commission that generally, the first few years of the Five
              Year Plan focus resources into the inner area of the Regional
              Growth Concentration Area.

         D.   THAT Council recommend to BC Transit that operating
              improvements be aggressively pursued to enhance regular
              services and to establish more innovative neighbourhood-based
              services.

         E.   THAT the Province be requested to give negotiating governance
              and funding of the Vancouver Regional Transit System the
              highest priority.

         F.   THAT the Vancouver Regional Transit Commission be urged to
              not increase its local share of transit funding until there
              is a commitment from the Province to negotiate a new
              governance and funding arrangement for Regional
              transportation services.

    COUNCIL POLICY

    Council s priorities for transportation modes are walking, cycling,
    transit, goods movement, and the automobile.

    Council supports measures to increase transit use as a means of
    reducing the impacts of general vehicular traffic growth and improving
    regional air quality, per the  Clouds of Change  initiatives.

    The CityPlan direction is to increase transit use into and within the
    City by improving existing transit service, using smaller buses and
    implementing new rapid transit lines.

    Council generally supports Transport 2021, the Regional Transportation
    Plan.


    PURPOSE

    This report summarizes and discusses the recently completed Transit
    Five Year Plan, what it means for the City, how it fits into the
    Regional Transportation Plan, and makes certain recommendations.

    BACKGROUND

    In 1994 the Vancouver Regional Transit Commission directed BC Transit
    staff to examine ways to accommodate the various municipal transit
    requests into an overall regional Transit Plan.  The Transit Commission
    subsequently approved a program (including funding for extra staff and
    consultants) that would develop a Five Year Transit Plan and Funding
    Strategy.

    Transit staff were assisted in the development of the Plan by a
    Strategic Consultant who provided input on transit service options and
    policy, a Public Consultation Consultant,  a Municipal Advisory
    Committee comprised of staff from the Regional municipalities and the
    public through surveys and focus group meetings.

    The development of the Plan started in the Spring of 1995 and took 15
    months to complete.

    SUMMARY OF THE PLAN

    Five Year Plan Service Strategy

    Council has already received a copy of TransAction 2002, a five-year
    transit service plan and funding strategy.

    The Five Year Plan proposes a 15% increase in service hours over what
    is provided today (from 4.13 million  hours to 4.75 million hours). 
    The annual cost of providing this service increases from $554 m. in
    1996/97 to $627 m. in 2001/02.

    The service strategy proposes an expansion of the transit fleet as
    follows:

         1.   175 new buses available for peak period service
         2.   Redeployment of 20 existing trolley buses
         3.   20 new SkyTrain vehicles
         4.   1 additional West Coast Express train
         5.   Undetermined number of small buses

    Six categories of service improvements are proposed:

    1.   Improve the Frequency and Reliability of Existing Services (23% of
         new service)

    2.   Provide more service along major Corridors to Central Broadway and
         the Downtown  (12% of new service)

    3.   Provide more local Services within the Downtown/Central Broadway
         Area (17% of  service)

    4.   Improve Regional/Municipal Connectors (34% of new service)

    5.   Provide some new Local Services outside the Downtown/Central Area
         (5% of new service)

    6.   Test the feasibility of alternative transit services through three
         pilot projects.

    In the Ten-Year Development Plan, BC Transit identified the need to
    expand the SkyTrain fleet by 60 cars.  As part of the Five Year Plan,
    Transit is recommending 20 more cars be purchased to meet the
    increasing demand along the SkyTrain corridor.

    Transit is further recommending acquiring a 6th West Coast Express
    train set comprised of one locomotive and five passenger cars.

    Specific Proposals for Vancouver

    Council has previously recommended BC Transit provide a number of
    service improvements in the City.  These are summarized in Appendix A
    of the companion report dated October 1, 1996 on the 1997/98 Annual
    Transit Service Plan.  The following transit improvements are contained
    within the Five Year Plan:

    1.   Review of services in the downtown including provision of service
         to the North Shore of False Creek (initially diesel service and
         then trolley service), service to the library, and West End loop
         service.
    2.   Review of downtown fare structure.
    3.   Provide service to the Fraser Lands/Riverside area.
    4.   Improved transit linkages between the downtown and Central
         Broadway.
    5.   Increased peak service frequencies and improved service
         reliability on major Vancouver routes.
    6.   Introduction of express service on Granville Street
         (Vancouver-Richmond Rapid Bus).
    7.   Increased service frequencies on the Broadway Express service.
    8.   Development of Service Design Guidelines.
    9.   Potentially, Vancouver included as one of three small bus pilot
         projects.
    10.  Permanent extension of service to the Upper Zoo of Stanley Park.

    Council recommended transit improvements not specifically identified in
    the Five Year Plan:

    1.   First Avenue Bus route.
    2.   Extension of the #22 Knight/Macdonald service to the Dunbar Loop.

    Financing Strategy

    The annual budget increases from a 96/97 budget of $554 m. to $627 m.
    in 2001/2. The total 5 year transit expenditure is about $2.96 billion.

    The Provincial share rises from $259 m/yr to $285 m/yr over the 5 years
    for a total of about $1.36 billion.   The local Transit Commission
    share rises from $289 m/yr to $334 m/yr over the 5 years for a total of
    $1.56 billion.

    The transit budget is shared by the local Vancouver Regional Transit
    Commission and the Province through a formula.  This formula is
    somewhat complicated but apportions costs on the basis of
    responsibility, accountability and acceptance of risk.  For example,
    the Transit Commission is responsible for setting the level of service
    and so pays about 70% of the operating budget.  The Province, on the
    other hand, accepts a larger responsibility for paying off SkyTrain and
    West Coast Express.  These major transit links can be viewed as   urban
    highways  and because they reduce the need to construct more lanes of
    highways, are funded more by the Province, somewhat the same as
    arterial highways.

    The local Transit Commission share is paid from revenues received from:

         - Passenger fares
         - 4 cent/litre gasoline tax
         - Non-residential property tax
         -$1.90 per month residential hydro levy

    The Transit Commission can also use the residential property tax but
    has chosen not to use it yet.

    The Five Year Plan recommends 5% fare increases in September 1997 and
    in the year 2000 as well as a review of the fare strategy to better
    balance the amount riders pay and the cost of providing the service. 
    For example, it costs a rider the same to ride from the West End to the
    downtown as it does from White Rock to Horseshoe Bay in the off peak
    period.  The cost of providing these services are significantly
    different.

    The Transit Commission s share of providing the extra service
    identified in the Five Year Plan can be easily met.  In fact, the
    Commission ends up with a $53m surplus at the end of the five years. 
    This is a very significant dilemma for the Transit Commission as the
    Province is not able to easily meet its commitment, given the present
    budget crisis that exists and will presumably continue for the
    foreseeable future.  As a result, Transit staff is recommending the
    Transit Commission consider increasing its share of the cost of transit
    in exchange for greater certainty of provincial funding.  This may be a
    risky move by the Commission as it changes the cost sharing formula
    with no guarantee the Province will continue to meet its funding
    obligation.  This is not satisfactory.  Governance and funding/cost
    sharing issues not only of transit but many other transportation
    services are major roadblocks that obstruct the Region from achieving
    the Transport 2021 targets.  These are very complex and controversial
    matters that will ultimately have to be addressed if the Region is to
    achieve its transportation and land use goals.  

    We strongly believe the Transit Commission should not increase its
    share of local funding until there is a strong commitment from the
    Province to negotiate a new governance and funding arrangement for all
    Regional transportation services.  Recommendations E and F address this
    matter.


    DISCUSSION

    The following are the positive aspects of the Five Year Plan:

    1.   The Plan reflects an implicit change in Transit policy by focusing
         most of the extra resources identified in the Five Year Plan into
         the Growth Concentration Area.

    2.   Many of Council s outstanding requests for new and improved
         service appears to be provided in the Plan. 

    3.   The Plan provides for a 15% increase in service over what
         presently exists.  The recently announced Transit 10 Year Plan
         only anticipated a 12% increase over the same time period.

    4.   The local share of the cost of providing this increased service
         can be easily met by the Transit Commission.

    The Five Year Plan attempts to strike a balance between the need to try
    and meet the myriad of transit service improvements from all the
    municipalities in the Region, its obligation to the Regional
    Transportation Plan (Transport 2021) and the Livable Region Strategic
    Plan and developing an achievable Plan within a very constrained
    funding envelope.  As such, the Plan has some major shortcomings:

    1.   The Regional Transportation Plan (Transport 2021) calls for a
         number of initiatives including transit improvements,
         transportation demand management measures and road improvements
         all working together to achieve a balanced transportation system. 
         The Region must largely rely on BC Transit and the Province to
         provide the necessary infrastructure to achieve Transport 2021.

         Transport 2021, for example, calls for about 500 more buses to be
         purchased to meet the 2021 transit ridership goals.  The Transit
         Five Year Plan only provides 200 new buses.  Transit staff
         maintain that demand management and other parts of Transport 2021
         that will change automobile driver behaviour  have not yet been
         implemented and so transit ridership will be lower than
         anticipated by Transport 2021.  As a result, Transit estimates
         only about 200 vehicles are needed to meet projected ridership
         targets.

         The Transit Five Year Plan should be criticized because it falls
         short of the amount of service it provides to achieve the Regional
         transit goals.  If the Regional Plan is to be achieved, all the
         elements must be provided, including a significantly expanded
         transit system.  If Transport 2021 is not achieved the Livable
         Region Strategic Plan is at risk and the Region will likely find
         itself on a very different course in the future.

         Upon completion of the final draft of the Plan, Transit staff were
         requested by the Municipal Advisory Committee to determine what
         the cost would be to meet the objectives of Transport 2021.  This
         is reported on in the Addendum to the Plan.

         Significantly more resources (more buses, SkyTrain vehicles,
         transit depots, etc) and a doubling of the five year capital
         budget are required.   The five year budget increases by $224 m.
         over the Plan.  The Provincial share increases by $76 m. and the
         local share increases by $148 m. over the five years.

         The Vancouver Transit Commission has a significant transit fund
         balance so an expanded transit plan that meets the objectives of
         Transport 2021 is reasonably affordable.  However, at the end of
         five years the transit fund is used up.

         The following year additional local funding would have to be
         found.  This could be from funds collected from TDM initiative
         such as tolls or increased parking taxes or from an increase in
         the Commission s own sources.  Transit staff estimate that in the
         year following the Five Year Plan, ie 2002/03, the cost per
         household to pay the local share would be in the order of $40 to
         $50.

         The cost to the Provincial Government for its share far exceeds
         the government s Debt Management Plan.

    2.   A significant portion (34%) of the new service provided in the
         Plan attempts to address the growing demand for suburb-to-suburb
         travel.  The increase in intrasuburban trips is not a phenomenon
         confined to the GVRD.  It is happening throughout North America
         and Europe as the public continues to move away from the denser,
         inner-city areas.

         These kinds of trips are very dispersed and total transit trips
         between any two regional nodes will always remain low relative to
         trips made within, or to higher density areas of the region.  

         Transit has always been most successful in providing service
         within the higher density inner area of the Region (eg. Vancouver         and Burnaby) and to the downtown.  Transit has, and never will be
         successful in meeting the growing suburb-to-suburb demand except
         for a few major Regional nodes.

         We believe the Plan should reduce the amount of service dedicated
         to this category and reallocate it generally to improving service
         quality and reliability of existing services, to improving major
         corridors to the downtown and to improving service within the
         downtown/Central Area.  As well, BC Transit should, for the first
         two or three years of the Plan, focus its financial and staff
         resources on reducing overcrowding and improving reliability
         generally within the City, to providing new services to the North
         Shore of False Creek and Fraser Lands/Riverside and to
         re-evaluating service within the downtown/Central Broadway.

         Recommendations B and C address this generally while the companion
         report on the 1997/1998 Annual Service Plan addresses this in more
         detail.

    3.   The Plan calls for Transit to improve productivity by reducing the
         operating cost per service hour by 1% per year. Even more than 1%
         per year could and should be achieved through productivity
         improvements.  However, this would require some fundamental
         changes to the way Transit does business including private sector
         involvement in the provision of transit service, more innovative
         services, use of part time drivers and other major changes to the
         collective agreement to allow more flexibility and cost savings
         measures.  Recommendation D addresses this matter.

    4.   The efficient operation of the Transit System will, in part be
         determined by effective Service Design Guidelines and sufficient
         information gathering to allow informed decisions to be made.  It
         is encouraging that Transit is developing new Guidelines. 
         However, there is no information to determine the commitment to 
         information gathering.  Significant staff resources are required
         to reach the staffing levels of only a few years ago.

         It is hoped new Guidelines will allow the Transit Commission to
         address  the issue of what to do with the least productive bus
         routes.  Previous reviews have identified the inefficiencies but
         clear solutions have not been apparent.  Issues that needs to be
         discussed and resolved include the level of basic mobility Transit
         should be providing generally  throughout the Region and in
         particular the levels of service  in the low density areas of the
         Region where the population base and land use densities cannot
         support transit.

         These concerns will be reviewed by staff when BC Transit completes
         a draft on the Service Design Guidelines and will be the subject
         of a future report to Council.

    CONCLUSIONS

         The Five Year Plan largely achieves the objective of the Vancouver
         Regional Transit Commission of dealing with the many municipal
         requests for service, within an affordable budget framework.

         Council s outstanding requests for new routes and improved
         existing transit service are largely provided for in the Plan.

         The level of funding from the Province to achieve the Five Year
         Plan is uncertain and may not be in place.  The Transit Commission
         may have to take on additional financial responsibility to achieve
         the Plan.

         The Plan does not meet the level of transit service required to
         achieve Transport 2021. However, the ability of the Transit
         Commission to pay the local share is possible noting that in five
         years the Commission will have to deal with a deficit.  The
         Province s share is outside of its Debt Management Plan.


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