SUPPORTS ITEM NO. 4(a) P&E COMMITTEE AGENDA OCTOBER 10, 1996 ADMINISTRATIVE REPORT Date: October 1, 1996 TO: Standing Committee on Planning & Environment FROM: General Manager of Engineering Services SUBJECT: BC Transit Five Year Plan and Funding Strategy RECOMMENDATION A. THAT Council receive the TransAction 2002 Service Plan and Funding Strategy for Information. B. THAT Council recommend to the Vancouver Regional Transit Commission, the BC Transit Board and the Province that they provide sufficient resources and funding to meet Transit's obligation to Transport 2021, the Regional Transportation Plan. C. THAT Council recommend to the Vancouver Regional Transit Commission that generally, the first few years of the Five Year Plan focus resources into the inner area of the Regional Growth Concentration Area. D. THAT Council recommend to BC Transit that operating improvements be aggressively pursued to enhance regular services and to establish more innovative neighbourhood-based services. E. THAT the Province be requested to give negotiating governance and funding of the Vancouver Regional Transit System the highest priority. F. THAT the Vancouver Regional Transit Commission be urged to not increase its local share of transit funding until there is a commitment from the Province to negotiate a new governance and funding arrangement for Regional transportation services. COUNCIL POLICY Council s priorities for transportation modes are walking, cycling, transit, goods movement, and the automobile. Council supports measures to increase transit use as a means of reducing the impacts of general vehicular traffic growth and improving regional air quality, per the Clouds of Change initiatives. The CityPlan direction is to increase transit use into and within the City by improving existing transit service, using smaller buses and implementing new rapid transit lines. Council generally supports Transport 2021, the Regional Transportation Plan. PURPOSE This report summarizes and discusses the recently completed Transit Five Year Plan, what it means for the City, how it fits into the Regional Transportation Plan, and makes certain recommendations. BACKGROUND In 1994 the Vancouver Regional Transit Commission directed BC Transit staff to examine ways to accommodate the various municipal transit requests into an overall regional Transit Plan. The Transit Commission subsequently approved a program (including funding for extra staff and consultants) that would develop a Five Year Transit Plan and Funding Strategy. Transit staff were assisted in the development of the Plan by a Strategic Consultant who provided input on transit service options and policy, a Public Consultation Consultant, a Municipal Advisory Committee comprised of staff from the Regional municipalities and the public through surveys and focus group meetings. The development of the Plan started in the Spring of 1995 and took 15 months to complete. SUMMARY OF THE PLAN Five Year Plan Service Strategy Council has already received a copy of TransAction 2002, a five-year transit service plan and funding strategy. The Five Year Plan proposes a 15% increase in service hours over what is provided today (from 4.13 million hours to 4.75 million hours). The annual cost of providing this service increases from $554 m. in 1996/97 to $627 m. in 2001/02. The service strategy proposes an expansion of the transit fleet as follows: 1. 175 new buses available for peak period service 2. Redeployment of 20 existing trolley buses 3. 20 new SkyTrain vehicles 4. 1 additional West Coast Express train 5. Undetermined number of small buses Six categories of service improvements are proposed: 1. Improve the Frequency and Reliability of Existing Services (23% of new service) 2. Provide more service along major Corridors to Central Broadway and the Downtown (12% of new service) 3. Provide more local Services within the Downtown/Central Broadway Area (17% of service) 4. Improve Regional/Municipal Connectors (34% of new service) 5. Provide some new Local Services outside the Downtown/Central Area (5% of new service) 6. Test the feasibility of alternative transit services through three pilot projects. In the Ten-Year Development Plan, BC Transit identified the need to expand the SkyTrain fleet by 60 cars. As part of the Five Year Plan, Transit is recommending 20 more cars be purchased to meet the increasing demand along the SkyTrain corridor. Transit is further recommending acquiring a 6th West Coast Express train set comprised of one locomotive and five passenger cars. Specific Proposals for Vancouver Council has previously recommended BC Transit provide a number of service improvements in the City. These are summarized in Appendix A of the companion report dated October 1, 1996 on the 1997/98 Annual Transit Service Plan. The following transit improvements are contained within the Five Year Plan: 1. Review of services in the downtown including provision of service to the North Shore of False Creek (initially diesel service and then trolley service), service to the library, and West End loop service. 2. Review of downtown fare structure. 3. Provide service to the Fraser Lands/Riverside area. 4. Improved transit linkages between the downtown and Central Broadway. 5. Increased peak service frequencies and improved service reliability on major Vancouver routes. 6. Introduction of express service on Granville Street (Vancouver-Richmond Rapid Bus). 7. Increased service frequencies on the Broadway Express service. 8. Development of Service Design Guidelines. 9. Potentially, Vancouver included as one of three small bus pilot projects. 10. Permanent extension of service to the Upper Zoo of Stanley Park. Council recommended transit improvements not specifically identified in the Five Year Plan: 1. First Avenue Bus route. 2. Extension of the #22 Knight/Macdonald service to the Dunbar Loop. Financing Strategy The annual budget increases from a 96/97 budget of $554 m. to $627 m. in 2001/2. The total 5 year transit expenditure is about $2.96 billion. The Provincial share rises from $259 m/yr to $285 m/yr over the 5 years for a total of about $1.36 billion. The local Transit Commission share rises from $289 m/yr to $334 m/yr over the 5 years for a total of $1.56 billion. The transit budget is shared by the local Vancouver Regional Transit Commission and the Province through a formula. This formula is somewhat complicated but apportions costs on the basis of responsibility, accountability and acceptance of risk. For example, the Transit Commission is responsible for setting the level of service and so pays about 70% of the operating budget. The Province, on the other hand, accepts a larger responsibility for paying off SkyTrain and West Coast Express. These major transit links can be viewed as urban highways and because they reduce the need to construct more lanes of highways, are funded more by the Province, somewhat the same as arterial highways. The local Transit Commission share is paid from revenues received from: - Passenger fares - 4 cent/litre gasoline tax - Non-residential property tax -$1.90 per month residential hydro levy The Transit Commission can also use the residential property tax but has chosen not to use it yet. The Five Year Plan recommends 5% fare increases in September 1997 and in the year 2000 as well as a review of the fare strategy to better balance the amount riders pay and the cost of providing the service. For example, it costs a rider the same to ride from the West End to the downtown as it does from White Rock to Horseshoe Bay in the off peak period. The cost of providing these services are significantly different. The Transit Commission s share of providing the extra service identified in the Five Year Plan can be easily met. In fact, the Commission ends up with a $53m surplus at the end of the five years. This is a very significant dilemma for the Transit Commission as the Province is not able to easily meet its commitment, given the present budget crisis that exists and will presumably continue for the foreseeable future. As a result, Transit staff is recommending the Transit Commission consider increasing its share of the cost of transit in exchange for greater certainty of provincial funding. This may be a risky move by the Commission as it changes the cost sharing formula with no guarantee the Province will continue to meet its funding obligation. This is not satisfactory. Governance and funding/cost sharing issues not only of transit but many other transportation services are major roadblocks that obstruct the Region from achieving the Transport 2021 targets. These are very complex and controversial matters that will ultimately have to be addressed if the Region is to achieve its transportation and land use goals. We strongly believe the Transit Commission should not increase its share of local funding until there is a strong commitment from the Province to negotiate a new governance and funding arrangement for all Regional transportation services. Recommendations E and F address this matter. DISCUSSION The following are the positive aspects of the Five Year Plan: 1. The Plan reflects an implicit change in Transit policy by focusing most of the extra resources identified in the Five Year Plan into the Growth Concentration Area. 2. Many of Council s outstanding requests for new and improved service appears to be provided in the Plan. 3. The Plan provides for a 15% increase in service over what presently exists. The recently announced Transit 10 Year Plan only anticipated a 12% increase over the same time period. 4. The local share of the cost of providing this increased service can be easily met by the Transit Commission. The Five Year Plan attempts to strike a balance between the need to try and meet the myriad of transit service improvements from all the municipalities in the Region, its obligation to the Regional Transportation Plan (Transport 2021) and the Livable Region Strategic Plan and developing an achievable Plan within a very constrained funding envelope. As such, the Plan has some major shortcomings: 1. The Regional Transportation Plan (Transport 2021) calls for a number of initiatives including transit improvements, transportation demand management measures and road improvements all working together to achieve a balanced transportation system. The Region must largely rely on BC Transit and the Province to provide the necessary infrastructure to achieve Transport 2021. Transport 2021, for example, calls for about 500 more buses to be purchased to meet the 2021 transit ridership goals. The Transit Five Year Plan only provides 200 new buses. Transit staff maintain that demand management and other parts of Transport 2021 that will change automobile driver behaviour have not yet been implemented and so transit ridership will be lower than anticipated by Transport 2021. As a result, Transit estimates only about 200 vehicles are needed to meet projected ridership targets. The Transit Five Year Plan should be criticized because it falls short of the amount of service it provides to achieve the Regional transit goals. If the Regional Plan is to be achieved, all the elements must be provided, including a significantly expanded transit system. If Transport 2021 is not achieved the Livable Region Strategic Plan is at risk and the Region will likely find itself on a very different course in the future. Upon completion of the final draft of the Plan, Transit staff were requested by the Municipal Advisory Committee to determine what the cost would be to meet the objectives of Transport 2021. This is reported on in the Addendum to the Plan. Significantly more resources (more buses, SkyTrain vehicles, transit depots, etc) and a doubling of the five year capital budget are required. The five year budget increases by $224 m. over the Plan. The Provincial share increases by $76 m. and the local share increases by $148 m. over the five years. The Vancouver Transit Commission has a significant transit fund balance so an expanded transit plan that meets the objectives of Transport 2021 is reasonably affordable. However, at the end of five years the transit fund is used up. The following year additional local funding would have to be found. This could be from funds collected from TDM initiative such as tolls or increased parking taxes or from an increase in the Commission s own sources. Transit staff estimate that in the year following the Five Year Plan, ie 2002/03, the cost per household to pay the local share would be in the order of $40 to $50. The cost to the Provincial Government for its share far exceeds the government s Debt Management Plan. 2. A significant portion (34%) of the new service provided in the Plan attempts to address the growing demand for suburb-to-suburb travel. The increase in intrasuburban trips is not a phenomenon confined to the GVRD. It is happening throughout North America and Europe as the public continues to move away from the denser, inner-city areas. These kinds of trips are very dispersed and total transit trips between any two regional nodes will always remain low relative to trips made within, or to higher density areas of the region. Transit has always been most successful in providing service within the higher density inner area of the Region (eg. Vancouver and Burnaby) and to the downtown. Transit has, and never will be successful in meeting the growing suburb-to-suburb demand except for a few major Regional nodes. We believe the Plan should reduce the amount of service dedicated to this category and reallocate it generally to improving service quality and reliability of existing services, to improving major corridors to the downtown and to improving service within the downtown/Central Area. As well, BC Transit should, for the first two or three years of the Plan, focus its financial and staff resources on reducing overcrowding and improving reliability generally within the City, to providing new services to the North Shore of False Creek and Fraser Lands/Riverside and to re-evaluating service within the downtown/Central Broadway. Recommendations B and C address this generally while the companion report on the 1997/1998 Annual Service Plan addresses this in more detail. 3. The Plan calls for Transit to improve productivity by reducing the operating cost per service hour by 1% per year. Even more than 1% per year could and should be achieved through productivity improvements. However, this would require some fundamental changes to the way Transit does business including private sector involvement in the provision of transit service, more innovative services, use of part time drivers and other major changes to the collective agreement to allow more flexibility and cost savings measures. Recommendation D addresses this matter. 4. The efficient operation of the Transit System will, in part be determined by effective Service Design Guidelines and sufficient information gathering to allow informed decisions to be made. It is encouraging that Transit is developing new Guidelines. However, there is no information to determine the commitment to information gathering. Significant staff resources are required to reach the staffing levels of only a few years ago. It is hoped new Guidelines will allow the Transit Commission to address the issue of what to do with the least productive bus routes. Previous reviews have identified the inefficiencies but clear solutions have not been apparent. Issues that needs to be discussed and resolved include the level of basic mobility Transit should be providing generally throughout the Region and in particular the levels of service in the low density areas of the Region where the population base and land use densities cannot support transit. These concerns will be reviewed by staff when BC Transit completes a draft on the Service Design Guidelines and will be the subject of a future report to Council. CONCLUSIONS The Five Year Plan largely achieves the objective of the Vancouver Regional Transit Commission of dealing with the many municipal requests for service, within an affordable budget framework. Council s outstanding requests for new routes and improved existing transit service are largely provided for in the Plan. The level of funding from the Province to achieve the Five Year Plan is uncertain and may not be in place. The Transit Commission may have to take on additional financial responsibility to achieve the Plan. The Plan does not meet the level of transit service required to achieve Transport 2021. However, the ability of the Transit Commission to pay the local share is possible noting that in five years the Commission will have to deal with a deficit. The Province s share is outside of its Debt Management Plan. * * * * *