CITY OF VANCOUVER

ADMINISTRATIVE REPORT

PURPOSE

The purpose of this report is to:

BACKGROUND

The Preliminary estimates for the 2005 Operating Budget indicate a potential tax rate increase in excess of local inflation. Major factors contributing to this increase are:

Staff began preparing the 2005 Operating Budget estimates during the fall of 2004 based on approved levels of service. Finance staff have just completed the administrative review of the revenue and expenditure estimates. This review includes discussions with service groups to ensure that departmental budgets meet target expenditure levels that provide sufficient funding to maintain programs, services and staffing at approved levels, and that requests for additional funding beyond these targets could be justified on the basis of Council approvals, health and safety concerns or short-term workload issues. The preliminary budget position includes decisions arising from these Budget Reviews with the exception of the Police Board and Park Board due to a number of outstanding items that will be resolved early in the new-year.

DISCUSSION

The Budget Challenge

Balancing the 2005 Operating Budget with a tax increase in the range of local inflation, as has been Council's past practice, without impacting City programs and services presents a challenge. However, the challenge in 2005 has been mitigated by the receipt of revenues in excess of local inflation.

The City relies on a small number of non-taxation revenue sources and, where possible, revenues are increased annually to reflect service costs. However, many of these revenues do not relate to the activities they support, and as such, cannot grow at the same rate as their associated expenditure budgets. Many of these revenues are subject to significant external influences such as decisions driven by outside organizations, the economy or the weather. In 2005, the City will receive provincial contributions from Traffic Fine and Gaming Revenues. Traffic Fine revenues have been utilized to reduce the impact of policing costs while the Gaming Revenue from new facilities in excess of 2004 levels have been excluded from the budget until Council provides direction as to the use of these revenues.

The impact of this mismatch between expenditure and non-taxation revenue growth and the fact that property tax revenues provide almost two-thirds of the funding in the operating budget means that, when expenditures rise, the pressure is on property tax increases to maintain service levels.

Changes in the City's budget do not track with changes in the Consumer Price Index, which is based on a basket of consumer goods and services. City costs, rather than being driven by consumer goods, are mainly driven by employment costs, external agency costs, and annualized costs of new programs approved during the 2004 budget year. However, as CPI is understood by the public, it is often used as a benchmark for increases in property taxes.

The challenge in balancing the Operating Budget is that, as costs increase, it is very difficult to hold property tax increases to local inflation without affecting the delivery of programs and services. As a result, the current budget position reflects a tax increase above local inflation. Moving below this level will require adjustments in the estimates, either on the revenue or expenditure side of the budget or a combination thereof.

A further challenge in 2005 is a number of key initiatives being proposed by Departments including a major staffing request from the Vancouver Police Department. Once again, to hold taxes to inflation and allow for many of the new initiatives will require adjustments to these estimates.

The Current Budget Position
The following table summarizes the current position of the estimates following the target reviews described above. This position is presented prior to consideration of a property tax increase.

Additional detail of these estimates is provided in Appendix 1, along with comparative information from the 2004 Operating Budget.

The following summarizes the major revenue and expenditure areas in the budget.

2. The Expenditure Estimates
The expenditure side of the budget is comprised of four components: Departmental Expenditures, Utility Expenditures; the Capital Program and Transfers to other Funds/Reserves. The preliminary estimates include expenditures of approximately $765.5 million in 2005, up 5.2% from the 2004 final budget. If approved at this level, expenditures of $643.6 million would be supported by property taxes, general revenues, and transfers and $121.9 million would be supported by utility user fees.

Departmental Expenditures
Departmental expenditures are those related to the programs and services provided by the City. The increases in program costs totals $25.2 million and are driven by the following factors.

iii) New Programs and Services

The City has established three utilities that are operated on a user pay basis. The water and solid waste utilities are fully funded from user fees so that increased expenditures are matched by increased user fee revenues with no impact on property taxes. The sewer utility is funded approximately 48% from user fees and 52% from property taxes. The budgets and rates for these utilities was approved by Council in early December 2004.

Water utility costs are driven by increases in the cost of water purchased from the Regional District and debt charges. The Regional cost of water is to increase by 12.0% in anticipation of future capital expenditures related to water filtration projects at Seymour and Capilano Reservoirs and has resulted in an overall increase $3.5 million or 12.2%, factoring in consumption. The City's utility debt is to increase by $2.2 million or 9.8%. This debt cost includes $0.17 million of sinking fund payments to compensate for declining rates to ensure that the Sinking Fund meets its actuarial obligations. Even with these increases, Water Utility rates were increased by Council by only 6.5% by providing a $0.47 million contribution from the Waterworks stabilization reserve.

The Solid Waste utility shows a $2.0 million increase mainly due the reclassification of revenues previously netted against expenditures. Overall, the utility did not have significant changes as recycling revenues largely offset inflationary increases to collection, recycling, and disposal expenditures.

Sewer utility costs were driven by a minor decrease in the Regional District costs for sewage treatment ($0.30 million) and increases in debt charges ($0.46 million) including $0.13 million of sinking fund payment. The rate increase approved by Council for the sewer levy is 0.6%.
As noted, water and solid waste operations have no impact on taxes while the increases to the sewer costs is partially impacting the general tax levy (the net impact to the tax supported portion of the sewer utility is $0.14 million).

Capital Program
The City's capital program is planned over a three year period with financing provided by a combination of debt and pay-as-you-go funding. The costs of this financing plan are carried in the Operating Budget through payments of principal and interest on debt and funded by the property tax levy.

In 2005, these costs will increase for three reasons:

The total impact of the capital program, after minor adjustments to Local Improvements and the Debt Repayment Reserve, is $3.6 million equivalent to a tax increase of 0.8%.

Transfers to Reserves/Funds
There are a number of transfers included on the expenditure side of the operating budget:

2005 Base Funding $146,359,800 $146,348,000 (per Appendix 1)
Appeals to the Base 6,285,400 6,218,800
Strategic Plan/Long Range Staffing 12,359,800 13,357,600
New and Non Recurring (NNR) Request 365,900 365,900
Total Operating Funding Submission 165,370,900 166,190,300

Supplementary Capital 734,600 734,600

The Police Board has approved the Provisional Budget "on the condition that further discussions will occur between the Vancouver Police Department and City finance staff, and that a more detailed budget ...be brought back to the Vancouver Police Board for approval in February 2005"

This provisional budget has allowed VPD to meet the Police Act's requirement to submit a provisional budget for the following year to Council by November 30.

Specifically, section 27 of the Police Act states:

It should be noted that some of the items that included in the $6.3 million appeal is already included in the Department's staffing initiative.

New and Non Re-occurring (NNR) & Supplementary Capital Reviews-A Staff Review Group, made up of Corporate Finance and Departmental Finance representatives, reviews and makes recommendations for allocations of both NNRs and Supplementary Capital based on corporate priority. The NNR allocation will be finalized in March by staff and the Supplementary Capital allocation is approved by Council in May as part of the annual Capital Budget process.

Staffing Request - Part of the submission by VPD to Council includes $13.4 million for new initiatives that mainly relate to the Department's long range staffing plan. As Council has directed, an independent consultant has been hired to review VPD's long range staffing request. The recommendations from the consultant will be provided in time for the final budget deliberations. Further, the public consultation process will attempt to gauge the public's desire for additional policing services and the implication that may have on taxation.

The VPD has five major initiatives with the first two, relating to staffing, being the most significant.

· Establish a City External Relations Program* 2.00 $ 169,500

Adding the impact of new initiatives, the cumulative tax increase is 7.7% assuming all initiatives are approved as requested and funded through taxation.

New Initiatives - New or Enhanced Services

A potential offset could be the new revenues and savings assuming that all new revenues and savings will remain in the Operating Budget and applied to identified services.

New Revenues/Savings

9. Inflation Benchmark

Council Direction

The recommendations provided in this report request that Council receive for information the 2005 preliminary estimates and a list of initiatives.

More importantly, based on Council's instruction, the Corporate Management Team would prepare options for any budget adjustments in time for the Interim Budget Report to bring down the anticipated tax increase from 3.3% to the rate of inflation.

Next Steps

The next steps to the budget process are the following:

CONCLUSION
The preliminary estimates of the 2005 Operating Budget indicate that a property tax increase of 3.3% to maintain current service levels. This tax increase is necessary to provide for:

In addition, there are number of initiatives being brought forward for consideration. The public consultation process will determine what trade-offs the public is willing to make with regards to tax increases, new services, and service adjustments.

- - - - -

Appendix 2 - Department Initiatives