CITY OF VANCOUVER

ADMINISTRATIVE REPORT

RECOMMENDATION

PURPOSE

The purpose of this report is to:

BACKGROUND

The Preliminary estimates for the 2004 Operating Budget indicate a potential tax rate increase in excess of local inflation. Major factors contributing to this increase are:

Staff began preparing the 2004 Operating Budget estimates during the summer of 2003 based on approved levels of service. The next steps will be to have Finance staff complete the administrative review of the revenue and expenditure estimates. This review includes discussions with service groups to ensure that departmental budgets meet target expenditure levels that provide sufficient funding to maintain programs, services and staffing at approved levels, and that requests for additional funding beyond these targets could be justified on the basis of Council approvals, health and safety concerns or short-term workload issues.

DISCUSSION

The Budget Challenge

Balancing the 2004 Operating Budget with a tax increase in the range of local inflation, as has been Council's past practice, without impacting City programs and services presents a challenge.

The City relies on a small number of non-taxation revenue sources and, where possible, revenues are increased annually to reflect service costs. However, many of these revenues do not relate to the activities they support, and as such, cannot grow at the same rate as their associated expenditure budgets. Further, many of these revenues are subject to significant external influences such as decisions driven by outside organizations, the economy or the weather.

The impact of this mismatch between expenditure and non-taxation revenue growth and the fact that property tax revenues provide almost two-thirds of the funding in the operating budget means that, when expenditures rise, the pressure is on property tax increases to maintain service levels.

Changes in the City's budget do not track with changes in the Consumer Price Index, which is based on a basket of consumer goods and services. City costs, rather than being driven by consumer goods, are mainly driven by employment costs, external agency costs, and annualized costs of new programs approved during the 2003 budget year. However, as CPI is understood by the public, it is often used as a benchmark for increases in property taxes.

The challenge in balancing the Operating Budget is that, as costs increase, it is very difficult to hold property tax increases to local inflation without affecting the delivery of programs and services. As a result, the current budget position reflects a tax increase above local inflation. Moving below this level will require adjustments in the estimates, either on the revenue or expenditure side of the budget or a combination thereof.

The Current Budget Position
The following table summarizes the current position of the estimates following the target reviews described above. This position is presented prior to consideration of a property tax increase.

Additional detail of these estimates is provided in Appendix 1, along with comparative information from the 2003 Operating Budget.

The following summarizes the major expenditure and revenue areas in the budget.

1. The Expenditure Estimates
As noted above, the expenditure side of the budget comprises four components: Departmental Expenditures, Utility Expenditures; the Capital Program and Transfers to other Funds/Reserves. The preliminary estimates include expenditures of approximately $733.0 million in 2004, up 4.2% from the 2003 final budget. If approved at this level, expenditures of $617.0 million would be supported by property taxes, general revenues, and transfers and $116.0 million would be supported by utility user fees.

Departmental Expenditures
Departmental expenditures are those related to the programs and services provided by the City. The increases in program costs totals $29.8 million and are driven by the following factors.

The City has established three utilities that are operated on a user pay basis. The water and solid waste utilities are fully funded from user fees so that increased expenditures are matched by increased user fee revenues with no impact on property taxes. The sewer utility is funded approximately 48% from user fees and 52% from property taxes. The budgets and rates for these utilities will be presented to Council in early December 2003, for their approval.

Water utility costs are driven by increases in the cost of water purchased from the Regional District and debt charges. The Regional cost of water is estimated to increase 13.5% in anticipation of future capital expenditures related to water filtration projects at Seymour and Capilano Reservoirs has resulted in an overall increase $4.6 million or 18.7%. Due to anticipated issuance of debt in 2003, the City's utility debt is estimated to increase by $1.3 million or 5.1%. Even with these increases, Water Utility rates are currently estimated to increase only 5.5% by providing a $0.67 million contribution from the Waterworks stabilization reserve.

The Solid Waste utility is not anticipating significant changes as recycling revenues largely offset inflationary increases to collection, recycling, and disposal expenditures.

Sewer utility costs are also driven by increases in the Regional District costs for sewage treatment and debt charges which are currently estimated to increase by $0.80 million and $0.30 million respectively. The anticipated rate increase for the sewer levy is 2.5%.
As noted, water and solid waste operations have no impact on taxes while the increases to the sewer costs is partially impacting the general tax levy.

Capital Program
The City's capital program is planned over a three year period with financing provided by a combination of debt and pay-as-you-go funding. The costs of this financing plan are carried in the Operating Budget through payments of principal and interest on debt and funded by the property tax levy.

In 2004, these costs will increase for three reasons:

Transfers to Reserves/Funds
There are a number of transfers included on the expenditure side of the operating budget:

Surveying has the advantage of providing statistically reliable input to the issues that are of interest to Council in making budget decisions, and at a relatively low cost. However, surveying does not engage the public in a dialogue of those issues. The total estimated cost of a survey is $20,000.

ii) Newspaper Flyer

The City has also made use of newspaper flyers distributed in the community newspapers and at City facilities. "City Choices" flyers were published in 1997, 2002, and 2003. In addition, we have traditionally used this vehicle to provide the public information about the City's Capital Planning process, including a flyer that was produced for the 2003-2005 Capital Plan. The cost of developing and publishing approximately 145,000 copies of the flyer is estimated at $35,000 plus staff time. Should Council choose this option, the flyer would be published in a community and a Chinese language paper, distributed through Community Centres and Branch Libraries, and posted on the City's website. Given the timing of this preliminary report, this target date may not be achievable and the flyer will most likely be published in the first week of January to avoid publication during the holiday season.

The flyer normally contains background information on the budget process, where the City spends its money and where it comes from and the issues that are facing Council in bringing the budget into balance. In the last few years, and certainly in the two years in which the flyer was produced, these issues tended to be choices between raising taxes to maintain City services at one extreme and cutting City services to keep tax increases down at the other. Given the timing of producing and publishing the flyer, a very similar format would have to be used in 2004.

An integral part of the flyer was the opportunities it offered for providing feedback on the issue identified. Flyers have contained a number of questions similar to those utilized in the public opinion poll. The questionnaire will also be made available on-line on the City's website.

The flyer is an educational vehicle for the public. It is especially valuable in years when there is a considerable budget challenge because it gives Council the opportunity to explain the issues to the public.

The survey is self-selecting, meaning that the results do not necessarily reflect the perceptions of the community as a whole. Response rates have been low - below 700 responses - while considerable time has been provided for response. In short, the flyer is an excellent vehicle when Council wishes to engage the public in a dialogue related to a significant budget issue but has less value in seeking input on more routine matters.

iii) Mayor's Forum

A "Mayor's Forum" was utilized in 2003, using an approach similar to the one for the Olympic question. Two meetings were convened by the Mayor at which a short presentation on the budget issue is presented and the public is invited to respond. The estimated cost of holding a Mayor's Forum is $12,500 per forum which includes the cost of advertising and rental of a hall.

iv) Public Meeting

The City has not used specific public meetings to deal with the budget for many years. This followed from experience in the early 1980s where public meetings were poorly attended. Instead, Council invited the public to make its views known at regular Committee meetings at which the budget was being discussed.
Council could hold a special public meeting to hear input from individuals and groups on the decisions that have to be set. If that is Council's wish, then a meeting date proceeding the Interim Budget report would have to be found. There is little cost to holding a public meeting in the Council Chambers.

Council Direction

The recommendations provided in this report mainly request that Council receive the 2004 preliminary estimates and a list of initiatives.

Direction is being sought on the type of public participation Council wishes for the 2004 budget process to obtain input from the public on the trade-offs between property tax increases and service adjustments.

Based on Council's instruction, the Corporate Management would prepare options for any budget adjustments in time for the Interim Budget Report, for Council to balance the 2004 Operating Budget that would reflect Council's past policies at keeping property tax increases to the rate of inflation.

Next Steps

The next steps to the budget process are the following:

CONCLUSION
The preliminary estimates of the 2004 Operating Budget indicate that a property tax increase of 5.3% would be necessary to provide for:

In addition, there are number of initiatives being brought forward for consideration for the coming budget year. Should Council wish, a public consultation process will determine what trade-offs the public is willing to make with regards to tax increases, new services, and service adjustments.

Appendix 2 - Department Initiatives

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